Richard Schibell Horse Racing- An Analysis     

The question of which horse will win the race has baffled handicappers for centuries. Image result for horse racingFor hundreds of years men and women have tried to make a profit betting on horse races. Many fail but a few succeed. The ones who are most successful all know that you have to compare the horse’s ability to the odds to find a good bet and a good bet, one that will show a profit in the long run, is what the handicapper really wants. This simple horse racing system or method will help you to figure out which horse is the best, second best, and so forth.
We’ll start with the idea that horses are athletes and need to race in order to be in top form. Therefore, eliminate from consideration any horse that hasn’t raced in the last 45 days unless you can look through its past performances and see that it managed to win on its first race back from a long layoff.Learn more about this at Richard Schibell Horse Racing.
Secondly, circle the horse any horse that won its last race. Of the horses you circled, check the purse in that race and compare it to the purse in today’s race. That will help you to know if it is moving up in class, staying in the same class, or dropping. If it is moving up notice how many lengths it won its last race by (for instance, 2 lengths, 3 lengths, etc.). Now compare the weight it is carrying today to the weight it carried before. If it won by 2 lengths and is carrying no more than 2 more pounds in today’s race it may well win, but only if it is racing at the same class level. If it is moving up you need to double the ratio of pounds added to lengths.Related image
Therefore, a horse that won by 4 lengths in its last race may win even if it is moving up in class, but only if it is carrying no more than 2 more pounds. That would still be a slim margin, but it is possible. This is just one example of how to compare a winner from its last race to the race it is in. Other simple and quick systems are to average the speed figures for the last three races and then to put the horses in a hierarchy based on the figures or to go by the fastest speed at the distance of today’s race.
Any method that puts the horses into a hierarchy based on class and speed is sufficient to help you compare the odds to the ability of the horse to shop for value. These are just a few thoughts and there are many more ways to efficiently handicap a race in a short amount of time.